Manufacturers are companies that take raw materials and manufacture products used by other businesses. For instance, a soft-drink company typically buys its cans from a manufacturer that manufactures the cans from raw aluminum. Dell buys computer components from dozens of manufacturers around the world in order to put together its computers. The reason so many manufacturers use the Internet to conduct business transactions is that the Internet cuts costs and streamlines the processes involved in buying and selling manufactured goods. E-commerce allows the buyer to easily compare competitors' prices,
FIGURE 3.2
reduces the costs of writing up and sending paper purchase orders and invoices, maintains an electronic copy of each sale, and cuts down the time it takes for the goods to reach the buyer. As can be seen in Table 3.5, goods shipped through e-commerce rose from 2001 to 2002, whereas the total value of manufacturing shipments declined. By far, transportation equipment topped the list with over $297 billion being shipped as a result of electronic transactions. This was followed by computer and electronic products, chemicals, food, and tobacco and beverages.
Merchant wholesale trade sales made up the second largest block of e-commerce transactions in 2002. Wholesalers act as a mediator between manufacturers and retailers. Wholesalers typically buy large quantities of goods from a number of manufacturers and then resell these goods to retail outlets. Table 3.6 is a historical chart of U.S. merchant wholesale trades from 1998 to 2002 broken down into total sales and e-commerce sales. In just five years, the number of sales conducted by e-commerce nearly doubled from $174 billion to $320 billion. In terms of total sales, this represented an increase in electronic commerce from 7.3% to 11%. E-commerce was used more in the sales of medications, drug proprietaries, and druggists' sundries than any other product.
E-commerce and Retail
Retail sales consist of any product that is sold to an individual customer or company for use. Since the late 1990s, nearly every major retailer from AutoZone to Neiman-Marcus to Wal-Mart has a created a Web site. Many offer a greater variety of merchandise online than is available in the store. The growth of such Web sites has allowed Americans to order just about anything and have it delivered to their front door within days. According to Lee Rainie in a Pew/Internet project memo released April 13, 2004, 65% of Internet users had bought something online. Figure 3.2 shows that e-commerce transactions accounted for 1.4% ($44 billion) of all retail sales in 2002. A U.S. Department of Commerce press release dated August 20, 2004, revealed that this number increased to 1.6% ($56 billion) in 2003 and again went up to 1.8% in the first six months of 2004.
Though these percentages may seem small, the amount of money made from electronic commerce in retail increased rapidly from the late 1990s. In 1998 e-commerce accounted for only $5 billion in retail sales. This number then tripled to $15 billion in 1999 and nearly doubled to $28 billion in 2000. As can be seen in Table 3.7, one big reason that e-commerce sales formed only a small percentage of total sales was that many of those items included in total sales, such as gasoline or building supplies, could not easily be purchased online. Of those retailing sectors that did sell merchandise online in 2002, non-store retailers and electronic shopping and mail-order houses topped the list in merchandise sold online. Motor vehicles and parts dealers came in third and electronics and appliances stores were fourth.
Table 3.8 focuses solely on the electronic shopping and mail-order house segment of retail. Many of the businesses in this category, such as Dell, sell their products almost exclusively online and through catalogs. Others are divisions of larger department stores, such as Nordstrom, created to sell the stores' products online. Online sales accounted for 28% of overall sales for electronic shopping and mail order businesses in 2002. That number had increased dramatically since 1999 when electronic commerce made up only 12% of sales of this sector of the retail community. As far as individual products sold, nearly half (46%) of the revenues from the sale of books and magazines came from online sales in 2002. This represented the highest percentage of online sales for any type of product in this retail segment. In terms of sheer sales volume, more computing hardware ($6 billion) was sold than any other type of product.
ONLINE AUCTIONS—A NEW SEGMENT OF THE ECONOMY. When e-commerce began back in the mid-1990s, many small business owners created modest commercial Web sites, hoping to sell their wares. However, Internet fraud and the propagation of distasteful Web sites made people reluctant to give personal information to unknown vendors on the Web. Smaller vendors and buyers needed a common marketplace with rules and regulations to trade goods.
In 1998 Pierre Omidyar, Jeff Skoll, and Meg Whitman, went public with eBay. The company, which was at
TABLE 3.5
| Total and e-commerce value of manufacturing shipments*, 2001–02 | |||||||||||
| [Estimates are based on data from the 2002 Annual Survey of Manufactures and 2002 Economic Census. Value of shipments estimates are shown in millions of dollars, consequently industry group estimates may not be additive.] | |||||||||||
| Value of shipments | E-commerce as percent of total shipments | Percent distribution of e-commerce shipments | |||||||||
| 2002 | 2001 | Y/Y percent change | |||||||||
| NAICS code | Description | Total | E-commerce | Total | Revised e-commerce | Total shipments | E-commerce shipments | 2002 | 2001 | 2002 | 2001 |
| Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. NAICS is North American Industry Classification System. | |||||||||||
| *Estimates include data only for businesses with paid employees and are subject to revision. | |||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 1. U.S. Manufacturing Shipments—Total and E-commerce Value: 2002 and 2001," in United States Department of Commerce E-Stats, U.S. Census Bureau, Economics and Statistics Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, April 2004, http://www.census.gov/eos/www/papers/2002/2002finaltables.pdf (accessed November 11, 2004) | |||||||||||
| Total manufacturing | 3,840,319 | 751,985 | 3,970,500 | 724,228 | −3.3 | 3.8 | 19.6 | 18.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |
| 311 | Food products | 469,031 | 51,094 | 451,386 | 53,556 | 3.9 | −4.6 | 10.9 | 11.9 | 6.8 | 7.4 |
| 312 | Beverage and tobacco | 103,869 | 45,419 | 118,786 | 45,665 | −12.6 | −0.5 | 43.7 | 38.4 | 6.0 | 6.3 |
| 313 | Textile mills | 46,847 | 3,977 | 45,681 | 4,435 | 2.6 | −10.3 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| 314 | Textile product mills | 31,642 | 7,491 | 31,971 | 7,409 | −1.0 | 1.1 | 23.7 | 23.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 315 | Apparel | 45,848 | 9,726 | 54,598 | 10,652 | −16.0 | −8.7 | 21.2 | 19.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 316 | Leather and allied products | 7,349 | 783 | 8,834 | 1,438 | −16.8 | −45.6 | 10.7 | 16.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 321 | Wood products | 88,492 | 4,567 | 87,250 | 4,919 | 1.4 | −7.2 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| 322 | Paper | 152,378 | 18,385 | 155,846 | 20,208 | −2.2 | −9.0 | 12.1 | 13.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 323 | Printing and related support activites | 95,735 | 4,725 | 100,792 | 5,885 | −5.0 | −19.7 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 324 | Petroleum and coal products | 215,663 | 25,523 | 219,075 | 16,312 | −1.6 | 56.5 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 325 | Chemicals | 427,754 | 68,674 | 438,410 | 54,041 | −2.4 | 27.1 | 16.1 | 12.3 | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| 326 | Plastics and rubber products | 166,089 | 23,953 | 170,717 | 27,324 | −2.7 | −12.3 | 14.4 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| 327 | Nonmetallic mineral products | 94,391 | 7,144 | 94,861 | 7,887 | −0.5 | −9.4 | 7.6 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| 331 | Primary metals | 136,971 | 12,828 | 138,245 | 14,274 | −0.9 | −10.1 | 9.4 | 10.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 332 | Fabricated metal products | 242,204 | 21,427 | 253,113 | 24,168 | −4.3 | −11.3 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
| 333 | Machinery | 241,406 | 30,390 | 266,553 | 35,670 | −9.4 | −14.8 | 12.6 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| 334 | Computer and electronic products | 353,529 | 73,406 | 429,471 | 73,221 | −17.7 | 0.3 | 20.8 | 17.0 | 9.8 | 10.1 |
| 335 | Electrical equipment, appliances, and components | 103,599 | 23,043 | 114,067 | 27,845 | −9.2 | −17.2 | 22.2 | 24.4 | 3.1 | 3.8 |
| 336 | Transportation equipment | 620,649 | 297,280 | 602,496 | 264,326 | 3.0 | 12.5 | 47.9 | 43.9 | 39.5 | 36.5 |
| 337 | Furniture and related products | 73,112 | 8,082 | 72,147 | 9,348 | 1.3 | −13.5 | 11.1 | 13.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| 339 | Miscellaneous | 123,761 | 14,068 | 116,201 | 15,644 | 6.5 | −10.1 | 11.4 | 13.5 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
first an auction site for collectibles such as Beanie Babies, quickly attracted the attention of small business owners. For a modest insertion fee, people could list their products on eBay's Web site. Buyers then could bid on the objects, and when a sale was final, the seller paid eBay a commission of 1.25% to 5% of the item's sales price. The Web site included payment options that did not require the purchaser to provide credit card information, and they even offered protections against fraud.
The eBay Web site created a whole new economic outlet for small business owners and people who simply wanted to pawn off their used goods. No longer was someone who wanted to sell embroidered pillows relegated to local flea markets. Individual vendors from crafters to high-end car salesmen could reach out to a nationwide audience. Even people with used stuff suddenly had more options than simply giving it to charity or holding a garage sale. In a September 2004 standard quarterly presentation, eBay reported more than 114 million global registered users selling over $8 billion in merchandise. The report claimed that more than 430,000 people made their living full-time or part-time auctioning items on eBay, and noted that most businesses using eBay had five employees or less.
MMORPGS AND THE SALE OF VIRTUAL GOODS. One of the more unusual industries to sprout up, due in part to eBay, was the sale of virtual goods, including "gold" and characters from massive multiplayer online role-playing games (MMORPGs). Games such as Everquest and Star Wars Galaxies placed players in a virtual world with thousands of other people where they could kill monsters and collect gold and other valuable virtual artifacts. Some of these online games even gave the player the option to marry and build houses in this virtual world. Progressing far in these games and obtaining a high level, however, required hundreds of hours of playtime. As a result, an entire cottage industry sprouted up around the sale of virtual gold and characters on auction sites such as eBay. Typically, a player would buy the game, build up a character and gold and then sell their password to the game to a buyer on eBay, sometimes fetching hundreds of dollars. Such sales represented the first industry centered on completely virtual goods.
SERVICE INDUSTRIES. The service industry in the United States is enormous and encompasses everything from brokerage houses to real estate companies to travel agents to health care. Generally, any business that sells its
TABLE 3.6
| Total and e–commerce wholesale trade sales*, 1998–2002 | |||||||||||
| [Estimates are based on data from the Annual Trade Survey. Sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars, consequently industry group estimates may not be additive.] | |||||||||||
| Value of sales | |||||||||||
| 2002 | 2001 revised | 2000 revised | 1999 revised | 1998 revised | |||||||
| Description | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | |
| (S) Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability or poor response quality. Unpublished estimates derived from this table by subtraction are subject to these same limitations and should not be attributed to the U.S. Census Bureau. | |||||||||||
| (D) Estimate is withheld to avoid disclosing data of individual companies; these data are included in broader industry totals. | |||||||||||
| Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. NAICS is North American Industry Classification System. | |||||||||||
| *Estimates include data only for businesses with paid employees. | |||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 2 Historical. U.S. Merchant Wholesale Trade Sales—Total and E–commerce: 1998–2002," in United States Department of Commerce E-Stats, U.S. Census Bureau, Economics and Statistics Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, April 2004, http://www.census.gov/eos/www/historical/2002ht.pdf (accessed November 11, 2004) | |||||||||||
| 42 | Total merchant wholesale trade | 2,742,285 | 319,755 | 2,701,474 | 286,211 | 2,743,557 | 248,400 | 2,539,566 | 209,863 | 2,379,824 | 173,903 |
| 421 | Durable goods | 1,334,066 | 146,287 | 1,345,892 | 132,628 | 1,421,462 | 119,302 | 1,353,049 | 107,400 | 1,265,755 | 91,403 |
| 4211 | Motor vehicles and automotive equipment | 215,437 | 53,348 | 205,605 | 47,933 | 199,522 | 41,097 | 195,724 | 38,269 | 173,239 | 35,914 |
| 4212 | Furniture and home furnishings | 43,611 | 4,690 | 44,862 | 3,940 | 46,725 | 2,851 | 42,792 | 2,672 | 40,423 | 2,284 |
| 4213 | Lumber and other construction material | 77,879 | 2,896 | 73,605 | 2,556 | 70,900 | 2,292 | 71,284 | 2,004 | 63,661 | 2,001 |
| 4214 | Professional and commercial equipment and supplies | 249,419 | 32,897 | 251,062 | 31,523 | 269,914 | 31,593 | 273,846 | 27,588 | 254,069 | 20,912 |
| 42143 | Computer equipment and supplies | 113,541 | 15,032 | 123,342 | 15,705 | 150,798 | 19,042 | 160,492 | 17,744 | 150,784 | 11,158 |
| 4215 | Metals and minerals, excluding petroleum | 89,811 | (S) | 92,792 | (S) | 102,717 | (S) | 94,813 | (S) | 97,108 | (S) |
| 4216 | Electrical goods | 204,350 | 19,263 | 212,924 | 15,160 | 240,362 | 11,754 | 208,355 | 9,578 | 186,721 | 7,973 |
| 4217 | Hardware, plumbing and heating equipment | 66,088 | 7,706 | 64,738 | 7,056 | 67,108 | 6,610 | 63,444 | 6,512 | 60,352 | 5,961 |
| 4218 | Machinery, equipment and supplies | 223,295 | 8,645 | 240,891 | 8,132 | 252,126 | 7,765 | 245,453 | 7,069 | 242,531 | 5,400 |
| 4219 | Miscellaneous durable goods | 164,176 | 15,752 | 159,413 | 15,314 | 172,088 | 14,508 | 157,338 | 12,942 | 147,651 | 10,435 |
| 422 | Nondurable goods | 1,408,219 | 173,468 | 1,355,582 | 153,583 | 1,322,095 | 129,098 | 1,186,517 | 102,463 | 1,114,069 | 82,500 |
| 4221 | Paper and paper products | 76,719 | 4,809 | 77,162 | 4,246 | 80,551 | 3,870 | 74,908 | 3,420 | 69,937 | 2,954 |
| 4222 | Drugs, drug proprietaries and druggists' sundries | 233,188 | 110,745 | 200,861 | 96,363 | 168,471 | 77,790 | 146,549 | 61,158 | 124,564 | 49,509 |
| 4223 | Apparel, piece goods and notions | 91,071 | 13,664 | 87,776 | 12,305 | 88,267 | 10,578 | 85,043 | 8,835 | 84,191 | 7,085 |
| 4224 | Groceries and related products | 402,691 | 21,357 | 389,731 | 18,056 | 383,882 | 13,321 | 361,928 | 10,815 | 344,437 | 8,828 |
| 4225 | Farm-products raw materials | 111,302 | 3,697 | 108,081 | 3,272 | 107,019 | 3,225 | 101,900 | 3,160 | 107,993 | 2,522 |
| 4226 | Chemicals and allied products | 60,446 | (D) | 59,633 | (D) | 59,044 | (D) | 55,270 | (D) | 55,073 | (D) |
| 4227 | Petroleum and petroleum products | 181,138 | 10,089 | 180,601 | (D) | 187,701 | (D) | 135,077 | (D) | 116,397 | (D) |
| 4228 | Beer, wine, and distilled beverages | 79,760 | (D) | 75,156 | (D) | 71,551 | (D) | 67,464 | (D) | 61,822 | (D) |
| 4229 | Miscellaneous nondurable goods | 171,904 | 5,614 | 176,581 | 5,071 | 175,609 | 4,986 | 158,378 | 4,481 | 149,655 | 4,526 |
TABLE 3.7
| Total and e–commerce retail sales*, 1998–2002 | |||||||||||
| [Estimates are based on data from the Annual Retail Trade Survey. Sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars, consequently industry group estimates may not be additive.] | |||||||||||
| Value of sales | |||||||||||
| NAICS code | 2002 | 2001 revised | 2000 revised | 1999 revised | 1998 revised | ||||||
| Description | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | |
| (S) Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability or poor response quality. Unpublished estimates derived from this table by subtraction are subject to these same limitations and should not be attributed to the U.S. Census Bureau. | |||||||||||
| (Z) Sales estimate is less than $500,000 or percent estimate is less than 0.05%. | |||||||||||
| Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. | |||||||||||
| *Estimates include data for businesses with or without paid employees. | |||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 5 Historical. U.S. Retail Sales—Total and E-commerce: 1998–2002," in United States Department of Commerce E-Stats, U.S. Census Bureau, Economics and Statistics Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, April 2004, http://www.census.gov/eos/www/historical/2002ht.pdf (accessed November 11, 2004) | |||||||||||
| Total retail trade | 3,230,122 | 44,287 | 3,156,754 | 34,263 | 3,070,186 | 28,000 | 2,878,914 | 14,667 | 2,644,785 | 4,926 | |
| 441 | Motor vehicles and parts dealers | 846,248 | 7,231 | 841,141 | 5,336 | 816,631 | 4,255 | 779,763 | 1,762 | 699,457 | 389 |
| 442 | Furniture and home furnishing stores | 93,689 | (S) | 91,442 | (S) | 91,662 | (S) | 85,218 | (S) | 78,574 | (S) |
| 443 | Electronics and appliance stores | 89,930 | 778 | 85,174 | 643 | 86,362 | 507 | 81,921 | 242 | 75,981 | 133 |
| 444 | Building materials and garden equipment and supplies stores | 299,893 | 603 | 287,233 | 527 | 275,996 | 447 | 263,205 | 339 | 243,490 | 31 |
| 445 | Food and beverage stores | 489,445 | (S) | 481,388 | (S) | 459,211 | (S) | 443,159 | (S) | 421,579 | (S) |
| 446 | Health and personal care stores | 181,111 | (S) | 168,050 | (S) | 156,861 | (S) | 143,610 | (S) | 130,228 | (S) |
| 447 | Gasoline stations | 244,796 | (Z) | 246,993 | (Z) | 247,160 | (Z) | 211,271 | (Z) | 191,749 | (Z) |
| 448 | Clothing and clothing accessories stores | 171,759 | 487 | 167,313 | 288 | 167,864 | 199 | 160,050 | 82 | 149,442 | 12 |
| 451 | Sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores | 80,222 | 662 | 79,818 | 506 | 78,056 | 400 | 74,045 | 261 | 69,456 | 52 |
| 452 | General merchandise stores | 451,365 | (S) | 430,095 | (S) | 406,204 | (S) | 381,403 | (S) | 351,706 | (S) |
| 453 | Miscellaneous store retailers | 104,400 | 684 | 105,097 | 516 | 108,477 | 383 | 105,782 | 242 | 99,803 | 116 |
| 454 | Nonstore retailers | 177,264 | 33,117 | 173,010 | 25,897 | 175,702 | 21,381 | 149,487 | 11,526 | 133,320 | 3,948 |
| 454110 | Electronic shopping and mail-order houses | 114,480 | 32,191 | 109,158 | 25,145 | 110,073 | 20,943 | 92,440 | 11,430 | 79,489 | 3,928 |
TABLE 3.8
| Total and e–commerce sales of electronic shopping and mail-order houses, by merchandise line1, 1999–2002 | ||||||||
| [Estimates are based on data from the Annual Retail Trade Survey. Sales estimates are shown in millions of dollars, consequently industry group estimates may not be additive.] | ||||||||
| Value of sales | ||||||||
| 2002 | 2001 revised | 2000 revised | 1999 revised | |||||
| Merchandise lines | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce |
| NA Not applicable | ||||||||
| Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. | ||||||||
| 1Estimates include data for businesses with or without paid employees, are grouped according to merchandise categories used in the Annual Retail Trade Survey. | ||||||||
| 2Includes other merchandise such as collectibles, souvenirs, auto parts and accessories, hardware, lawn and garden equipment and supplies, and jewelry. | ||||||||
| 3Includes nonmerchandise receipts such as auction commissions, customer training, customer support, advertising, and shipping and handling. | ||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 6 Historical. U.S. Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses (NAICS 454110)—Total and E-Commerce Sales by Merchandise Line: 1999–2002," in United States Department of Commerce E-Stats, U.S. Census Bureau, Economics and Statistics Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, April 2004, http://www.census.gov/eos/www/historical/2002ht.pdf (accessed November 11, 2004) | ||||||||
| Total electronic shopping and mail–order houses (NAICS 454110) | 114,480 | 32,191 | 109,158 | 25,145 | 110,073 | 20,943 | 92,440 | 11,430 |
| Books and magazines | 4,017 | 1,848 | 3,825 | 1,691 | 4,093 | 1,775 | 3,407 | 1,436 |
| Clothing and clothing accessories (includes footwear) | 14,020 | 4,272 | 15,021 | 3,165 | 14,857 | 2,184 | 13,251 | 892 |
| Computer hardware | 21,203 | 5,873 | 22,653 | 5,506 | 27,113 | 5,988 | 23,383 | 4,094 |
| Computer software | 4,433 | 1,456 | 4,110 | 1,110 | 3,671 | 1,081 | 2,744 | 741 |
| Drugs, health aids, and beauty aids | 20,709 | 1,446 | 16,130 | 951 | 14,094 | 660 | 11,129 | 236 |
| Electronics and appliances | 4,419 | 2,030 | 3,877 | 1,508 | 3,356 | 1,055 | 2,631 | 485 |
| Food, beer, and wine | 1,869 | 639 | 1,901 | 487 | 1,870 | 557 | 1,405 | 227 |
| Furniture and home furnishings | 7,116 | 2,447 | 6,442 | 1,633 | 6,367 | 1,006 | 5,759 | 353 |
| Music and videos | 3,862 | 1,454 | 3,960 | 1,256 | 4,319 | 1,158 | 4,171 | 751 |
| Office equipment and supplies | 6,114 | 2,450 | 6,416 | 1,872 | 6,757 | 1,371 | 7,091 | 586 |
| Sporting goods | 2,687 | 910 | 1,718 | 502 | 1,706 | 396 | NA | NA |
| Toys, hobby goods, and games | 3,458 | 1,250 | 2,954 | 895 | 3,072 | 819 | 2,164 | 383 |
| Other merchandise2 | 15,651 | 3,858 | 16,137 | 2,914 | 15,617 | 1,853 | 14,163 | 947 |
| Nonmerchandise receipts3 | 4,922 | 2,258 | 4,014 | 1,655 | 3,181 | 1,040 | 1,142 | 299 |
services or some type of expertise belongs in this category. Of all the industries presented in Figure 3.2, e-commerce revenue made up the smallest percentage of total revenue for the service industries. In those areas of the service industry where e-commerce has broken through, however, it has created a deal of change. Probably no other type of business in the services sector has been affected more by the Internet than travel reservations services. Before the Internet, travelers had to either comb through travel books and call airlines, hotels, restaurants, and other venues one by one, or else hire a travel agent to do it for them. When the Internet became widely available, new businesses formed that essentially took over the role of traditional travel agents by consolidating information about airfare, hotels, and vacation packages and making it easily searchable online. Existing businesses, like the airlines, developed websites of their own. And so it became much easier for travelers to comparison shop and make travel plans on their own. As Table 3.9 shows, electronic commerce made up nearly a quarter (24%) of the travel arrangements and reservation services in 2001. According to marketing research firm PhoCusWright, thirty-five million Americans purchased travel reservations in 2003, which was a 17% increase over 2002. Within the next decade as many as 70% of all travel reservations could be made by individuals online.
Needless to say, many travel agencies have faced tough times since the late 1990s. In a 2001 report on travel agency automation, the American Society of Travel Agents (ASTA) pointed out that airline ticket reservations were the main source of revenue for twentieth-century travel agents. Coincidentally, airline reservations have become the type of travel reservation made most often by online consumers. From 1998 to 2001, airline reservation sales by travel agents fell from 58% of total sales to 54%. As noted above, the number of travel agency jobs in the United States dropped by more than 18% between 1998 and 2003, and the U.S. Department of Labor estimates that by the year 2012 the number of working travel agents will likely shrink by another 14%. To avoid losing their jobs, many travel agents are beginning to focus on putting together more complex packages for travelers than can easily be arranged online.
Another service industry that experienced a great deal of change due to IT is the securities brokerage business. Since the early 1980s many of those who work in the industry have employed powerful computers and networking capabilities to track financial markets in real time and make financial transactions electronically. When the Internet became mainstream, large financial services organizations, such as Fidelity Investments and Charles Schwab, offered brokerage accounts to customers, allowing them to trade stocks online. Customers also had access to many of the research services only available to stockbrokers prior to the World Wide Web. An online 2001 Wall Street Journal fact sheet entitled "Trading
TABLE 3.9
| Total and e–commerce revenue, selected services1, 1998–2000 | |||||||||||
| [Except where indicated, estimates are based on data from the Service Annual Survey. Revenue estimates are shown in millions of dollars, consequently industry group estimates may not be additive.] | |||||||||||
| Value of revenue | |||||||||||
| NAICS code | 2002 | 2001 revised | 2000 revised | 1999 revised | 1998 revised | ||||||
| Description | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | Total | E–commerce | |
| (S) Estimate does not meet publication standards because of high sampling variability or poor response quality. Unpublished estimates derived from this table by substraction are subject to these same limitations and should not be attributed to the U.S. Census Bureau. | |||||||||||
| Note: Estimates are not adjusted for price changes. | |||||||||||
| 1Estimates are subject to revision and include data only for businesses with paid employees except for Accommodation and Food Services, which also includes business without paid employees. | |||||||||||
| 2Excludes NAICS 481 (air transportation), 482 (rail transportation), 483 (water transportation), 485 (transit and ground passenger transportation), 486 (pipeline transportation), 487 (scenic and sightseeing transportation), 488 (support activities for transportation), and 491 (postal service). | |||||||||||
| 3Excludes NAICS 521 (monetary authorities-central bank), 522 (credit intermediation and related activities), 5232 (securities and commodity exchanges), 52391 (miscellaneous intermediation), 52399 (all other financial investment activities), 524 (insurance carriers and related activities), and 525 (funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles). | |||||||||||
| 4Excludes NAICS 54112 (offices of notaries) and 54132 (landscape architectural services). | |||||||||||
| 5Excludes NAICS 56173 (landscaping services). | |||||||||||
| 6Estimates are based on data from the 2002 Annual Retail Trade Survey. | |||||||||||
| 7Excludes NAICS 81311 (religious organizations), 81393 (labor and similar organizations), 81394 (political organizations), and 814 (private households). | |||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 4 Historical. U.S. Selected Service Revenue—Total and E–Commerce: 1998–2000" in United States Department of Commerce E–Stats, U.S. Census Bureau, Economics and Statistics Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, April 2004, http://www.census.gov/eos/www/historical/2002ht.pdf (accessed November 11, 2004) | |||||||||||
| Total for selected service industries | 4,862,961 | 41,463 | 4,756,317 | 36,045 | 4,639,947 | 36,022 | 4,264,199 | 24,182 | 3,929,669 | 14,463 | |
| Selected transportation and warehousing2 | 237,485 | 3,429 | 235,659 | 2,810 | 237,782 | 2,555 | 221,967 | 1,959 | 207,535 | 1,641 | |
| 484 | Truck transportation | 169,443 | 2,422 | 169,069 | 1,526 | 172,258 | 1,287 | 162,046 | 821 | 150,816 | 606 |
| 492 | Couriers and messengers | 53,101 | 913 | 53,317 | 1,192 | 52,738 | 1,188 | 47,368 | 1,082 | 44,890 | 981 |
| 493 | Warehousing and storage | 14,941 | S | 13,273 | S | 12,787 | S | 12,283 | S | 11,829 | S |
| 51 | Information | 876,984 | 11,059 | 870,684 | 10,438 | 845,266 | 9,303 | 767,261 | 5,212 | 687,991 | 2,577 |
| 511 | Publishing Industries | 230,916 | 5,362 | 231,714 | 4,941 | 232,069 | 4,745 | 218,124 | 3,065 | 200,576 | 1,544 |
| 513 | Broadcasting and telecommunications | 484,652 | 2,549 | 487,799 | 2,516 | 469,349 | 1,880 | 425,127 | 902 | 381,017 | 481 |
| 51419 | Online Information services | 31,842 | 1,823 | 32,347 | 1,850 | 31,438 | 1,997 | 20,121 | 1,020 | 11,866 | 431 |
| Selected finance3 | 256,879 | 4,191 | 288,417 | 3,754 | 331,497 | 5,976 | 285,317 | 3,996 | 239,802 | 2,259 | |
| 5231 | Securities and commodity contracts intermediation and brokerage | 163,080 | 4,071 | 191,007 | 3,570 | 227,841 | 5,664 | 193,759 | 3,831 | 161,516 | 2,145 |
| 532 | Rental and leasing services | 100,507 | S | 99,126 | S | 101,188 | S | 93,605 | S | 85,002 | S |
| Selected professional, scientific, and technical services4 | 848,109 | 6,490 | 842,261 | 5,237 | 805,834 | 5,467 | 728,468 | 4,142 | 663,411 | 2,501 | |
| 5415 | Computer systems design and related services | 162,175 | 4,267 | 174,367 | 3,526 | 175,338 | 3,444 | 154,286 | 2,869 | 131,481 | 1,644 |
| Administrative and support and waste management and remediation services5 | 421,107 | 10,463 | 409,984 | 9,612 | 408,315 | 9,674 | 372,054 | 6,989 | 336,298 | 4,815 | |
| 5615 | Travel arrangement and reservation services | 26,545 | 6,385 | 26,487 | 6,269 | 26,611 | 6,181 | 25,069 | 5,263 | 23,092 | 4,196 |
| 62 | Health care and social assistance services | 1,203,447 | S | 1,110,231 | S | 1,027,870 | S | 971,892 | S | 931,520 | S |
| 71 | Arts, entertainment, and recreation services | 137,236 | S | 128,904 | S | 122,117 | S | 114,796 | S | 108,643 | S |
| 72 | Accommodation and food services6 | 456,232 | S | 445,236 | S | 437,801 | S | 404,631 | S | 381,119 | S |
| Selected other services7 | 324,975 | 1,097 | 325,815 | 656 | 322,277 | 554 | 304,208 | 364 | 288,348 | 178 | |
| 811 | Repair and maintenance | 131,205 | 254 | 130,482 | 214 | 125,012 | 256 | 119,478 | 115 | 114,753 | 107 |
| 813 | Relegious, grantmaking, civic, professional, and similar organizations | 121,381 | 639 | 124,457 | 383 | 128,467 | 267 | 119,627 | 123 | 111,702 | 62 |
Stocks Online" reported that in 1996 1.5 million brokerage accounts existed online. In 2001 that number shot up to twenty million despite the recession, and brokerage accounts were projected to continue growing for many years. In America's Online Pursuits (Washington, DC: Pew Internet & American Life Project, December 2003), researcher Mary Madden reported that some fourteen million online Americans said they bought and sold stock online. Despite the increase in self-service brokering, the U.S. Department of Labor reported in 2002 that the ranks of stockbrokers would continue to grow at the same pace as the national job rate. However, the number of brokerage clerks, who generally assist securities brokers in their jobs, was projected to decline 15% by 2012. One could surmise that while information technologies have not harmed brokers' business, IT has replaced many tasks once completed by brokerage clerks.
The real estate brokerage sector is another service industry that has undergone many changes due to the Internet. Before the Internet, people could only find real estate listings in the newspaper or at a real estate agency. Many Web sites, such as Realtor.com, started listing hundreds of houses for sale in every region of the country. These sites made it possible for people in Virginia, for instance, to get a feel for real estate and real estate prices in Alaska or Arizona. Monthly Internet statistics from Realtor.com show that Internet traffic on their site increased from 3.79 million unique visitors in June 2002 to 6.15 million unique visitors in June 2004. Due in part to a real estate boom that began around the turn of the twenty-first century, the number of real estate agents and brokers increased from 347,000 in 1998 to 407,000 by 2002, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. The Internet may or may not infringe on real estate brokerage job growth in the future as many realtors do not list all their homes on the Web. Many homebuyers also require assistance in the complex process of buying a house. In Digital Economy 2003, the U.S. Department of Commerce analyzed trends in housing price and buying behavior, and they found that the only discernible effect that the Internet had on the housing market was that online homebuyers tended to use the resource to make more personal visits to more houses.
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