According to the Annual Energy Review 2003, published by the EIA, in 2003 the 520,000 producing wells in the United States produced an average of eleven barrels per day per well, significantly below peak levels of more than eighteen barrels per day per well in the early 1970s. Any new oil discoveries are unlikely to result in a significant increase in domestic production in the near future because of the long lead-time needed to prepare for production.
Most domestic oil production takes place in only a few U.S. states. Texas, Alaska, Louisiana, California, and the offshore areas around these states produce about 75% of the nation's oil. Most domestic oil (about 64%, or 3.7
TABLE 2.2
| Petroleum production, selected years, 1949–2003 | ||||||||||||
| (Thousand barrels per day) | ||||||||||||
| Production | Trade | |||||||||||
| Crude oil | ||||||||||||
| Year | 48 states1 | Alaska | Total | Natural gas plant liquids | Total | Other domestic supply2 | Imports | Exports | Net imports | Stock change3 | Crude oil losses and unaccounted for4 | Petroleum products supplied |
| 1United States excluding Alaska and Hawaii. | ||||||||||||
| 2Refinery processing gains (refinery production minus refinery inputs), and field production of finished motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, and other hydrocarbons and oxygenates. | ||||||||||||
| 3A negative number indicates a decrease in stocks and a positive number indicates an increase. Distillate stocks in the "Northeast Heating Oil Reserve" are not included. | ||||||||||||
| 4"Unaccounted for" represents the difference between crude oil supply and disposition. | ||||||||||||
| R=Revised. | ||||||||||||
| P=Preliminary. | ||||||||||||
| (s)=Less than 500 barrels per day. | ||||||||||||
| Web Pages: For data not shown for 1951–1969, see http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/petro.html. For related information, see http:/www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/info_glance/petroleum.html. | ||||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 5.1. Petroleum Overview, Selected Years, 1949–2003 (Thousand Barrels per Day)," in Annual Energy Review 2003, U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Office of Energy Markets and End Use, September 7, 2004, http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/aer/pdf/aer.pdf (accessed September 28, 2004) | ||||||||||||
| 1949 | 5,046 | 0 | 5,046 | 430 | 5,447 | −2 | 645 | 327 | 318 | −8 | 38 | 5,763 |
| 1950 | 5,407 | 0 | 5,407 | 499 | 5,906 | 2 | 850 | 305 | 545 | −56 | 51 | 6,458 |
| 1955 | 6,807 | 0 | 6,807 | 771 | 7,578 | 34 | 1,248 | 368 | 880 | (s) | 37 | 8,455 |
| 1960 | 7,034 | 2 | 7,035 | 929 | 7,965 | 146 | 1,815 | 202 | 1,613 | −83 | 8 | 9,797 |
| 1965 | 7,774 | 30 | 7,804 | 1,210 | 9,014 | 220 | 2,468 | 187 | 2,281 | −8 | 10 | 11,512 |
| 1970 | 9,408 | 229 | 9,637 | 1,660 | 11,297 | 359 | 3,419 | 259 | 3,161 | 103 | 16 | 14,697 |
| 1971 | 9,245 | 218 | 9,463 | 1,693 | 11,155 | 382 | 3,926 | 224 | 3,701 | 71 | −45 | 15,212 |
| 1972 | 9,242 | 199 | 9,441 | 1,744 | 11,185 | 388 | 4,741 | 222 | 4,519 | −232 | −43 | 16,367 |
| 1973 | 9,010 | 198 | 9,208 | 1,738 | 10,946 | 483 | 6,256 | 231 | 6,025 | 135 | 11 | 17,308 |
| 1974 | 8,581 | 193 | 8,774 | 1,688 | 10,462 | 516 | 6,112 | 211 | 5,862 | 179 | 38 | 16,653 |
| 1975 | 8,183 | 191 | 8,375 | 1,633 | 10,008 | 497 | 6,056 | 209 | 5,846 | 32 | −3 | 16,322 |
| 1976 | 7,958 | 173 | 8,132 | 1,604 | 9,736 | 515 | 7,313 | 233 | 7,090 | −58 | −63 | 17,461 |
| 1977 | 7,781 | 464 | 8,245 | 1,618 | 9,862 | 575 | 8,807 | 243 | 8,565 | 548 | 22 | 18,431 |
| 1978 | 7,478 | 1,229 | 8,707 | 1,567 | 10,275 | 549 | 8,363 | 362 | 8,002 | −94 | 73 | 18,847 |
| 1979 | 7,151 | 1,401 | 8,552 | 1,584 | 10,135 | 571 | 8,456 | 471 | 7,985 | 173 | 6 | 18,513 |
| 1980 | 6,980 | 1,617 | 8,597 | 1,573 | 10,170 | 641 | 6,909 | 544 | 6,365 | 140 | −20 | 17,056 |
| 1981 | 6,962 | 1,609 | 8,572 | 1,609 | 10,180 | 558 | 5,996 | 595 | 5,401 | 160 | −78 | 16,058 |
| 1982 | 6,953 | 1,696 | 8,649 | 1,550 | 10,199 | 583 | 5,113 | 815 | 4,298 | −147 | −68 | 15,296 |
| 1983 | 6,974 | 1,714 | 8,688 | 1,559 | 10,246 | 541 | 5,051 | 739 | 4,312 | −20 | −112 | 15,231 |
| 1984 | 7,157 | 1,722 | 8,879 | 1,630 | 10,509 | 599 | 5,437 | 722 | 4,715 | 280 | −183 | 15,726 |
| 1985 | 7,146 | 1,825 | 8,971 | 1,609 | 10,581 | 612 | 5,067 | 781 | 4,286 | −103 | −145 | 15,726 |
| 1986 | 6,814 | 1,867 | 8,680 | 1,551 | 10,231 | 674 | 6,224 | 785 | 5,439 | 202 | −139 | 16,281 |
| 1987 | 6,387 | 1,962 | 8,349 | 1,595 | 9,944 | 703 | 6,678 | 764 | 5,914 | 41 | −145 | 16,665 |
| 1988 | 6,123 | 2,017 | 8,140 | 1,625 | 9,765 | 708 | 7,402 | 815 | 6,587 | −28 | −196 | 17,283 |
| 1989 | 5,739 | 1,874 | 7,613 | 1,546 | 9,159 | 722 | 8,061 | 859 | 7,202 | −43 | −200 | 17,325 |
| 1990 | 5,582 | 1,773 | 7,355 | 1,559 | 8,914 | 763 | 8,018 | 857 | 7,161 | 107 | −257 | 16,988 |
| 1991 | 5,618 | 1,798 | 7,417 | 1,659 | 9,076 | 807 | 7,627 | 1,001 | 6,626 | −10 | −195 | 16,714 |
| 1992 | 5,457 | 1,714 | 7,171 | 1,697 | 8,868 | 900 | 7,888 | 950 | 6,938 | −68 | −258 | 17,033 |
| 1993 | 5,264 | 1,582 | 6,847 | 1,736 | 8,582 | 1,020 | 8,620 | 1,003 | 7,618 | 151 | −168 | 17,237 |
| 1994 | 5,103 | 1,559 | 6,662 | 1,727 | 8,388 | 1,025 | 8,996 | 942 | 8,054 | 15 | −266 | 17,718 |
| 1995 | 5,076 | 1,484 | 6,560 | 1,762 | 8,322 | 1,078 | 8,835 | 949 | 7,886 | −246 | −193 | 17,725 |
| 1996 | 5,071 | 1,393 | 6,465 | 1,830 | 8,295 | 1,150 | 9,478 | 981 | 8,498 | −151 | −215 | 18,309 |
| 1997 | 5,156 | 1,296 | 6,452 | 1,817 | 8,269 | 1,192 | 10,162 | 1,003 | 9,158 | 143 | −145 | 18,620 |
| 1998 | 5,077 | 1,175 | 6,252 | 1,759 | 8,011 | 1,267 | 10,708 | 945 | 9,764 | 239 | −115 | 18.917 |
| 1999 | 4,832 | 1,050 | 5,881 | 1,850 | 7,731 | 1,262 | 10,852 | 940 | 9,912 | −422 | −191 | 19,519 |
| 2000 | 4,851 | 970 | 5,822 | 1,911 | 7,733 | 1,325 | 11,459 | 1,040 | 10,419 | −69 | −155 | 19,701 |
| 2001 | 4,839 | 963 | 5,801 | 1,868 | 7,670 | 1,287 | 11,871 | 971 | 10,900 | 325 | −117 | 19,649 |
| 2002 | 4,761 | 984 | R5,746 | R1,880 | R7,626 | R1,374 | R11,530 | R984 | R10,546 | R−105 | R−110 | R19,761 |
| 2003P | R4,763 | 974 | 5,737 | 1,717 | 7,454 | 1,384 | 12,254 | 1,017 | 11,237 | 45 | −14 | 20,044 |
FIGURE 2.4
million barrels per day) comes from onshore drilling, while the remaining 2.1 million barrels come from offshore sources. (See Figure 2.6.) Supplies from Alaska, which increased with the construction of a direct pipeline in the late 1970s, have begun to decline. Notice how the gap between "Total" and "48 States" is narrowing in Figure 2.7; this gap is Alaska's share of U.S. oil production.
Unless protected wildlife refuges in Alaska are opened for drilling, U.S. oil production will likely continue its decline. The Alaskan government and the administration of President George W. Bush strongly support drilling for oil in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge. But there is great controversy over this proposal because of environmental concerns. The U.S. House of Representatives has approved drilling in the Arctic refuge in the past, only to have the proposal repeatedly fail in the Senate. As of November 2004 no agreement had been reached.
The United States is considered to be in a "mature" oil development phase, meaning that much of its oil has already been found. The amount of oil discovered per foot of exploratory well in the United States has fallen to less than half the rate of the early 1970s. Of the country's thirteen largest oil fields, seven are at least 80% depleted. Geological studies have estimated that 34% of the undiscovered recoverable resources are in Alaska, but it is uncertain whether the oil will ever be recovered.
Domestic production is also hampered by the expense of drilling and recovering oil in the United States compared to the expense incurred in Middle Eastern countries. Middle Eastern producers can drill and bring out crude oil from enormous, easily accessible reservoirs for around $2 a barrel. In contrast, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) estimates it costs an American oil producer about $14 to produce a barrel of oil, not counting royalty payments and taxes, which add to the cost. Of all the successful domestic oil wells drilled, only about 1% have been "wildcat" wells that have led to the discovery of new large fields, and these discoveries have provided only minor additions to the total proved reserves.
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