| — Data not available. | |||||||||
| … Category not applicable. | |||||||||
| 1Dec. 1986 = 100. | |||||||||
| 2Dec. 1996 = 100. | |||||||||
| Note: 1982–84 = 100, except where noted. | |||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 113. Consumer Price Index and Average Annual Percent Change for All Items, Selected Items, and Medical Care Components: United States, Selected Years 1960–2002," in Health, United States, 2003, National Center for Health Statistics, 2003, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hus/tables/2003/03hus113.pdf (accessed July 2, 2004) | |||||||||
| Components of medical care | |||||||||
| Medical care services | … | 5.2 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Professional services | … | — | 7.7 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.0 |
| Physicians' services | … | 4.6 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Dental services | … | 3.8 | 7.2 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Eye glasses and eye care1 | … | — | — | — | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
| Services by other medical professionals1 | … | — | — | — | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| Hospital and related services | … | — | — | 9.9 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 8.7 |
| Hospital services2 | … | — | — | — | — | — | 6.0 | 6.6 | 9.0 |
| Inpatient hospital services2 | … | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 6.3 | 8.4 |
| Outpatient hospital services1 | … | — | — | — | 8.1 | 4.7 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 10.2 |
| Hospital rooms | … | 9.8 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — |
| Other inpatient services1 | … | — | — | — | 7.7 | — | — | — | — |
| Nursing homes and adult day care | … | — | — | — | — | — | 4.8 | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Medical care commodities | … | −0.1 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Prescription drugs and medical supplies | … | −1.3 | 4.3 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Nonprescription drugs and medical supplies1 | … | — | — | — | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | −0.1 |
| Internal and respiratory over-the-counter drugs | … | — | 5.9 | 6.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | −0.1 |
| Nonprescription medical equipment and supplies | … | — | — | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | −0.4 |
rising cost of health care is the increase in biomedical technology, much of which is now available for use outside of a hospital.
Many other factors also contribute to the increase in health care costs. These include population growth, high salaries for physicians and some other health care workers, and the expense of malpractice insurance. Escalating malpractice insurance costs and professional liability premiums have prompted some physicians and other health care practitioners to refrain from performing high-risk procedures that increase their vulnerability or have caused them to relocate to states where malpractice premiums are lower. Furthermore, to protect themselves from malpractice suits, many health care practitioners routinely order diagnostic tests and prescribe treatments that are not medically necessary and do not serve to improve their patients' health. This practice is known as "defensive medicine," and while its precise contribution to rising health care costs is difficult to gauge, industry observers agree that it is a significant factor.
Although physicians have historically been the most vocal protesters of rising malpractice insurance premiums, hospitals and other health care providers also must purchase malpractice insurance to protect them from financial ruin in the event of lawsuits. An August 24, 2002, article in the New York Times reported that some
FIGURE 5.1
TABLE 5.3
| National health expenditures, by source of funds, selected years 1990–2013 | ||||||||||
| Third-party payments | ||||||||||
| Public | ||||||||||
| Year | Total | Out-of-pocket payments | Total | Private health insurance | Other private funds | Total | Federal2 | State and local2 | Medicare3 | Medicaid4 |
| Historical estimates | Amount in billions | |||||||||
| 1990 | $696.00 | $137.30 | $558.70 | $233.50 | $42.80 | $282.50 | $192.70 | $89.80 | $110.20 | $73.60 |
| 1998 | 1,150.30 | 175.3 | 975 | 382.9 | 70.8 | 521.3 | 368.4 | 152.9 | 210.2 | 171.5 |
| 1999 | 1,222.60 | 184.5 | 1,038.10 | 412.7 | 72.6 | 552.9 | 386.4 | 166.4 | 213.5 | 186.8 |
| 2000 | 1,309.40 | 192.6 | 1,116.90 | 449.3 | 72.9 | 594.6 | 416 | 178.6 | 225.1 | 203.4 |
| 2001 | 1,420.70 | 200.5 | 1,220.20 | 495.6 | 72.3 | 652.3 | 460.3 | 192 | 246.5 | 224.3 |
| 2002 | 1,553.00 | 212.5 | 1,340.50 | 549.6 | 77.5 | 713.4 | 504.7 | 208.7 | 267.1 | 250.4 |
| Projected | ||||||||||
| 2003 | 1,673.60 | 227 | 1,446.60 | 606.7 | 80.9 | 759 | 535.2 | 223.8 | 280.9 | 269.2 |
| 2004 | 1,793.60 | 243 | 1,550.60 | 656.5 | 84.5 | 809.6 | 569.1 | 240.5 | 295.2 | 292.7 |
| 2005 | 1,920.80 | 260.9 | 1,660.00 | 707 | 88.7 | 864.2 | 605 | 259.3 | 309.3 | 319.2 |
| 2006 | 2,064.00 | 279.7 | 1,784.30 | 762.2 | 93.8 | 928.2 | 648.1 | 280.1 | 328.3 | 348.4 |
| 2007 | 2,219.20 | 299.3 | 1,919.90 | 821.9 | 99.5 | 998.5 | 695.5 | 303 | 349.3 | 380.4 |
| 2008 | 2,387.70 | 319.9 | 2,067.80 | 887.7 | 105.3 | 1,074.80 | 747.1 | 327.7 | 372.9 | 414.9 |
| 2009 | 2,565.00 | 341.7 | 2,223.30 | 954.6 | 111.3 | 1,157.40 | 803.5 | 354 | 399.3 | 452.2 |
| 2010 | 2,751.00 | 364.3 | 2,386.70 | 1,022.20 | 117.6 | 1,246.90 | 864.9 | 382 | 428.9 | 492.1 |
| 2011 | 2,945.60 | 387.4 | 2,558.20 | 1,092.00 | 123.7 | 1,342.50 | 930.6 | 411.9 | 460.8 | 534.8 |
| 2012 | 3,145.80 | 411.3 | 2,734.50 | 1,160.60 | 129.9 | 1,444.00 | 1,000.30 | 443.6 | 495.1 | 580.2 |
| 2013 | 3,358.10 | 436.2 | 2,921.80 | 1,233.40 | 136.3 | 1,552.10 | 1,074.80 | 477.3 | 532.1 | 628.5 |
| Historical estimates | Per capita amount | |||||||||
| 1990 | $2,738 | $540 | $2,198 | $919 | $168 | $1,111 | $758 | $353 | —5 | —5 |
| 1998 | 4,179 | 637 | 3,542 | 1,391 | 257 | 1,894 | 1,339 | 556 | —5 | —5 |
| 1999 | 4,402 | 664 | 3,738 | 1,486 | 261 | 1,991 | 1,391 | 599 | —5 | —5 |
| 2000 | 4,670 | 687 | 3,983 | 1,603 | 260 | 2,121 | 1,483 | 637 | —5 | —5 |
| 2001 | 5,021 | 709 | 4,313 | 1,752 | 256 | 2,306 | 1,627 | 679 | —5 | —5 |
| 2002 | 5,440 | 744 | 4,696 | 1,925 | 271 | 2,499 | 1,768 | 731 | —5 | —5 |
| Projected | ||||||||||
| 2003 | 5,808 | 788 | 5,020 | 2,105 | 281 | 2,634 | 1,857 | 777 | —5 | —5 |
| 2004 | 6,167 | 836 | 5,332 | 2,257 | 291 | 2,784 | 1,957 | 827 | —5 | —5 |
| 2005 | 6,546 | 889 | 5,657 | 2,409 | 302 | 2,945 | 2,062 | 883 | —5 | —5 |
| 2006 | 6,972 | 945 | 6,027 | 2,575 | 317 | 3,135 | 2,189 | 946 | —5 | —5 |
| 2007 | 7,431 | 1,002 | 6,429 | 2,752 | 333 | 3,344 | 2,329 | 1,015 | —5 | —5 |
| 2008 | 7,928 | 1,062 | 6,866 | 2,947 | 350 | 3,569 | 2,481 | 1,088 | —5 | —5 |
| 2009 | 8,446 | 1,125 | 7,321 | 3,143 | 367 | 3,811 | 2,646 | 1,166 | —5 | —5 |
| 2010 | 8,984 | 1,190 | 7,795 | 3,338 | 384 | 4,072 | 2,825 | 1,248 | —5 | —5 |
| 2011 | 9,543 | 1,255 | 8,288 | 3,538 | 401 | 4,349 | 3,015 | 1,334 | —5 | —5 |
| 2012 | 10,110 | 1,322 | 8,789 | 3,730 | 417 | 4,641 | 3,215 | 1,426 | —5 | —5 |
| 2013 | 10,709 | 1,391 | 9,318 | 3,933 | 435 | 4,950 | 3,428 | 1,522 | —5 | —5 |
| Historical estimates | Percent distribution | |||||||||
| 1990 | 100 | 19.7 | 80.3 | 33.5 | 6.1 | 40.6 | 27.7 | 12.9 | 15.8 | 10.6 |
| 1998 | 100 | 15.2 | 84.8 | 33.3 | 6.2 | 45.3 | 32 | 13.3 | 18.3 | 14.9 |
| 1999 | 100 | 15.1 | 84.9 | 33.8 | 5.9 | 45.2 | 31.6 | 13.6 | 17.5 | 15.3 |
| 2000 | 100 | 14.7 | 85.3 | 34.3 | 5.6 | 45.4 | 31.8 | 13.6 | 17.2 | 15.5 |
| 2001 | 100 | 14.1 | 85.9 | 34.9 | 5.1 | 45.9 | 32.4 | 13.5 | 17.4 | 15.8 |
| 2002 | 100 | 13.7 | 86.3 | 35.4 | 5 | 45.9 | 32.5 | 13.4 | 17.2 | 16.1 |
| Projected | ||||||||||
| 2003 | 100 | 13.6 | 86.4 | 36.3 | 4.8 | 45.4 | 32 | 13.4 | 16.8 | 16.1 |
| 2004 | 100 | 13.5 | 86.5 | 36.6 | 4.7 | 45.1 | 31.7 | 13.4 | 16.5 | 16.3 |
| 2005 | 100 | 13.6 | 86.4 | 36.8 | 4.6 | 45 | 31.5 | 13.5 | 16.1 | 16.6 |
| 2006 | 100 | 13.6 | 86.4 | 36.9 | 4.5 | 45 | 31.4 | 13.6 | 15.9 | 16.9 |
| 2007 | 100 | 13.5 | 86.5 | 37 | 4.5 | 45 | 31.3 | 13.7 | 15.7 | 17.1 |
| 2008 | 100 | 13.4 | 86.6 | 37.2 | 4.4 | 45 | 31.3 | 13.7 | 15.6 | 17.4 |
| 2009 | 100 | 13.3 | 86.7 | 37.2 | 4.3 | 45.1 | 31.3 | 13.8 | 15.6 | 17.6 |
| 2010 | 100 | 13.2 | 86.8 | 37.2 | 4.3 | 45.3 | 31.4 | 13.9 | 15.6 | 17.9 |
| 2011 | 100 | 13.2 | 86.8 | 37.1 | 4.2 | 45.6 | 31.6 | 14 | 15.6 | 18.2 |
| 2012 | 100 | 13.1 | 86.9 | 36.9 | 4.1 | 45.9 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 15.7 | 18.4 |
| 2013 | 100 | 13 | 87 | 36.7 | 4.1 | 46.2 | 32 | 14.2 | 15.8 | 18.7 |
hospitals had closed obstetric wards (units devoted to care of expectant mothers), clinics, and trauma services in response to soaring malpractice costs. The article cited an American Hospital Association (AHA) survey finding that more than thirteen hundred health care institutions had been affected by the costs of malpractice insurance, and the AHA claimed that in some states, such as New Jersey, insurance costs nearly doubled during 2001.
| 1The health spending projections were based on the 2002 version of the National Health Expenditures (NHE) released in January 2004. | ||||||||||
| 2Includes Medicaid SCHIP Expansion and SCHIP. | ||||||||||
| 3Subset of Federal funds. | ||||||||||
| 4Subset of Federal and State and local funds. Includes Medicaid SCHIP Expansion. | ||||||||||
| 5Calculation of per capita estimates is inappropriate. | ||||||||||
| Notes: Per capita amounts based on July 1 Census resident based population estimates. Numbers and percents may not add to totals because of rounding. | ||||||||||
| SOURCE: "Table 3. National Health Expenditures; Aggregate and Per Capita Amounts, Percent Distribution and Average Annual Percent Change by Source of Funds: Selected Calendar Years 1990–2013," Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, 2002, http://www.cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/projections-2003/t3.asp (accessed July 2, 2004) | ||||||||||
| Historical estimates | Average annual percent change from previous year shown | |||||||||
| 1990 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1998 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 8 | 8.4 | 6.9 | 8.4 | 11.1 |
| 1999 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 2.5 | 6 | 4.9 | 8.8 | 1.6 | 8.9 |
| 2000 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 7.6 | 8.9 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 8.9 |
| 2001 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 9.2 | 10.3 | −0.9 | 9.7 | 10.7 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| 2002 | 9.3 | 6 | 9.9 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 8.4 | 11.7 |
| Projected | ||||||||||
| 2003 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 7.9 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 7.5 |
| 2004 | 7.2 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 7.5 | 5.1 | 8.7 |
| 2005 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 9 |
| 2006 | 7.5 | 7.2 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.1 | 9.2 |
| 2007 | 7.5 | 7 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 6 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 9.2 |
| 2008 | 7.6 | 6.9 | 7.7 | 8 | 5.9 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 9.1 |
| 2009 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 8 | 7.1 | 9 |
| 2010 | 7.3 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 8.8 |
| 2011 | 7.1 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 8.7 |
| 2012 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 5 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 8.5 |
| 2013 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 6.3 | 5 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 8.3 |
Other factors include advanced biomedical procedures requiring high-technology expertise and equipment; redundant (excessive and unnecessary) technology in hospitals; cumbersome medical insurance programs and consumer demand for less restrictive insurance plans (ones that offer more choices, benefits, and coverage, but usually mean higher premiums); and consumer demand for the latest and most comprehensive testing and treatment. Legislation that increased Medicare spending and the growing number of older adults who utilize a disproportionate amount of health care services also acted to accelerate health care spending.
In an article in the August 10, 2002, issue of the New York Times, Drew Altman, president of the Kaiser Family Foundation, a health care research organization, expressed a concern shared by many health care industry observers. "No one has a big new answer about what to do about health care costs. And it's all made worse because health costs are rising in bad economic times," Altman said. Some industry observers believe that combating health care inflation requires a major shift in how American health care providers and consumers approach health care delivery. They feel Americans must learn to use health care services wisely, choosing only treatments that have proven effective and accepting that bigger facilities and more treatment do not necessarily produce better health.
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