Current Immigration Statistics - Immigration And Populationprojections

The Census Bureau has projected that the U.S. population will reach 571 million by the year 2100, nearly double the estimated population of 290 million as of July 1, 2006. The overall foreign-born population could grow from 10.8% of the total population in 2006 to 13.3% in 2050 and then drop to 10.9% in 2100. (See Table 3.5.)

The foreign-born, Hispanic population could decline from 34.8% of the total Hispanic population in 2006 to 20% in 2050 and 9.3% in 2100. In comparison, the foreign-born, non-Hispanic white population—3.6% of the non-Hispanic whites in 2006—was projected to remain stable at 5.2% of this racial group in 2050 and 5.3% in 2100. (See Table 3.5.)

The foreign-born, non-Hispanic black population, representing 6.7% of the estimated total non-Hispanic black population in 2006, was projected to grow to 11.3% of this racial group in 2050 and remain steady at 11.8% in 2100. In 2006 foreign-born, non-Hispanic Asians and Pacific Islanders (APIs) were projected to represent 60.6% of the overall API population in the United States. This proportion was projected to decline to 47.5% by 2050, and to 32.7% by 2100. On the other hand, the foreign-born, non-Hispanic Native American population, at 2.5% of the total Native American population in 2006, was projected to rise to 3.7% in 2050 and 3.8% in 2100. (See Table 3.5.)

Projected Total Population by Race
and Hispanic Origin

It should be noted that foreign-born persons who became naturalized U.S. citizens were eventually added to the race and Hispanic-origin count of the Census Bureau. According to the bureau's projections, the Hispanic share of the U.S. population would nearly double from 13.5% in 2006 to 24.3% in 2050, and reach 33.3% (one-third of the total U.S. population) in 2100. The other population projected for growth was the API. Representing 4.4% of the estimated 2006 population, they could more than double to 8.9% of the population by 2050, and grow threefold to 12.6% by 2100. (See Table 3.5.)

In contrast to the growth groups, the non-Hispanic white population, an estimated 68.9% of the population in 2006, was projected to decline to 52.8% of the population in 2050 and 40.3% in 2100. The non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic Native American populations were projected to remain relatively stable as a percentage

TABLE 3.5
Population projections, 2006–2100

	July 1, 2006	July 1, 2025	July 1, 2050	July 1, 2075	July 1, 2100
Total
Population	290,152	337,814	403,686	480,504	570,954
Percent of total	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
Native population	258,917	296,999	349,890	420,957	508,694
Percent of total	89.2	87.9	86.7	87.6	89.1
Foreign-born population	31,235	40,814	53,796	59,546	62,259
Percent of total	10.8	12.1	13.3	12.4	10.9
White
Population	235,751	265,305	302,453	348,027	403,696
Percent of total	81.3	78.5	74.9	72.4	70.7
Native population	216,089	241,421	273,794	318,944	375,745
Percent of group	91.7	91.0	90.5	91.6	93.1
Foreign-born population	19,661	23,884	28,659	29,083	27,950
Percent of group	8.3	9.0	9.5	8.4	6.9
Black
Population	38,084	47,089	59,239	71,705	85,579
Percent of total	13.1	13.9	14.7	14.9	15.0
Native population	34,816	42,205	51,887	62.805	75,614
Percent of group	91.4	89.6	87.6	87.6	88.4
Foreign-born population	3,267	4,883	7,352	8,900	9,965
Percent of group	8.6	10.4	12.4	12.4	11.6
American Indian
Population	2,664	3,399	4,405	5,413	6,442
Percent of total	0.9	1.0	1.1	1.1	1.1
Native population	2,464	3,116	4,024	4,995	6,018
Percent of group	92.5	91.7	91.4	92.3	93.4
Foreign-born population	199	283	380	417	424
Percent of group	7.5	8.3	8.6	7.7	6.6
Asian and Pacific Islander
Population	13,653	22,020	37,589	55,357	75,235
Percent of total	4.7	6.5	9.3	11.5	13.2
Native population	5,546	10,257	20,184	34,212	51,316
Percent of group	40.6	46.6	53.7	61.8	68.2
Foreign-born population	8,107	11,763	17,404	21,144	23,919
Percent of group	59.4	53.4	46.3	38.2	31.8
Hispanic
Population	39,307	61,433	98,228	141,719	190,330
Percent of total	13.5	18.2	24.3	29.5	33.3
Native population	25,612	44,394	78,598	122,676	172,584
Percent of group	65.2	72.3	80.0	86.6	90.7
Foreign-born population	13,694	17,038	19,629	19,042	17,746
Percent of group	34.8	27.7	20.0	13.4	9.3
White, non-Hispanic
Population	199,923	209,339	212,990	218,923	230,236
Percent of total	68.9	62.0	52.8	45.6	40.3
Native population	192,643	200,833	201,988	206,904	218,143
Percent of group	96.4	95.9	94.8	94.5	94.7
Foreign-born population	7,280	8,505	11,002	12,018	12,092
Percent of group	3.6	4.1	5.2	5.5	5.3
Black, non-Hispanic
Population	35,845	43,527	53,466	63,348	74,360
Percent of total	12.4	12.9	13.2	13.2	13.0
Native population	33,446	39,732	47,399	55,716	65,585
Percent of group	93.3	91.3	88.7	88.0	88.2
Foreign-born population	2,398	3,794	6,066	7,631	8,775

TABLE 3.5
Population projections, 2006–2100
[CONTINUED]
SOURCE: Adapted from "Projections of the Resident Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity: Middle Series, 1999 to 2100 (NP-T5-C; NP-T5-F; NP-T5-G; NP-T5-H)," U.S. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, http://www.census.gov/population/www/projections/natsum-T5.html (accessed April 21, 2005)

	July 1, 2006	July 1, 2025	July 1, 2050	July 1, 2075	July 1, 2100
American Indian, non-Hispanic
Population	2,196	2,668	3,241	3,753	4,237
Percent of total	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.7
Native population	2,140	2,585	3,120	3,607	4,077
Percent of group	97.5	96.9	96.3	96.1	96.2
Foreign-born population	55	82	120	145	160
Percent of group	2.5	3.1	3.7	3.9	3.8
Asian and Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic
Population	12,879	20,846	35,759	52,759	71,789
Percent of total	4.4	6.2	8.9	11.0	12.6
Native population	5,074	9,452	18,783	32,052	48,303
Percent of group	39.4	45.3	52.5	60.8	67.3
Foreign-born population	7,805	11,393	16,976	20,707	23,485
Percent of group	60.6	54.7	47.5	39.2	32.7

of the total population from 2006 through 2100. (See Table 3.5.)