Recidivism rates are an indirect indicator of the correctional system's performance in achieving the public goal of rehabilitation. The recidivism rate measures the relapse of a person into criminal behavior after incarceration. Unfortunately, no approach to prison reform has had much effect on the recidivism rate among released prisoners. Table 1.1 presents the recidivism rates for state prisoners released for the years 1983 and 1994 as published by Patrick A. Langan and David J. Levin in Recidivism of Prisoners Released in 1994 (Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics, June 2002). Because of the long-term nature of a recidivism study—time must pass between a prisoner's release and rearrest—statistics on recidivism often lag several years behind other criminal justice statistics.
This sample, based on 108,580 state prisoners released in 1983 and 272,111 prisoners released in 1994, shows that nearly two-thirds of prisoners (62.5%) released in 1983 were arrested again within three years. Among those released in 1994, more than two-thirds (67.5%) were rearrested. The rearrest rate thus increased during the period studied. The highest recidivism rate was for property offenses for those released in 1994—73.8%, up from 68.1% for those released in 1983. The lowest rate was for violent offenses, 61.7% in 1994, up from 59.6% in 1983. Drug rearrests experienced the largest percentage growth, climbing from 50.4% in 1983 to 66.7% in 1994 for a change of 16.3%. In contrast, rearrests for violence grew 2.1% during that same time-frame.
Recidivism Report: Inmates Released from Florida Prisons July 1995 to June 2001 (Tallahassee, FL: Florida Department of Corrections, Bureau of Research and Data Analysis, July 2003) provides more recent statistics on prisoners released in that state. This report shows that recidivism rates rise with the length of time a prisoner has been released. In the first six months following release, only 12.5% of male prisoners and 8.4% of female prisoners had committed a new offense, but by sixty months (five years) following release, those who had committed a new offense had risen to 48.7% for males and 42.8% for females. (See Table 1.2.)
A November 2003 study by Patrick A. Langan, Erica L. Schmitt, and Matthew R. Durose of the Bureau of Justice Statistics analyzed the recidivism
TABLE 1.1
Recidivism rates of state prisoners released in 1983 and 1994
| Most serious offense for which released | Percent of prisoners released in— | Percent rearrested within 3 years, among prisoners released in— | Percent reconvicted within 3 years, among prisoners released in— | |||
| 1983 | 1994 | 1983 | 1994 | 1983 | 1994 | |
| All released prisoners | 100% | 100% | 62.5% | 67.5% | 46.8% | 46.9% |
| Violent | 34.6 | 22.5 | 59.6 | 61.7 | 41.9 | 39.9 |
| Property | 48.3 | 33.5 | 68.1 | 73.8 | 53.0 | 53.4 |
| Drug | 9.5 | 32.6 | 50.4 | 66.7 | 35.3 | 47.0 |
| Public-order | 6.4 | 9.7 | 54.6 | 62.2 | 41.5 | 42.0 |
| Other | 1.1 | 1.7 | 76.8 | 64.7 | 62.9 | 42.1 |
| Number of released prisoners | 108,580 | 272,111 | ||||
rate specifically for sex offenders released from state prisons. Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released from Prison in 1994 tracked 9,691 male sex offenders who had been released from prisons in fifteen states in
TABLE 1.2
Recidivism rates for inmates released from Florida prisons, July 1995–June 2001
| Follow-up period (months since release) | Reoffense | Reimprisonment | ||
| Male | Female | Male | Female | |
| 6 | 12.5% | 8.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| 12 | 21.5% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| 18 | 28.2% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 6.3% |
| 24 | 33.2% | 25.7% | 18.0% | 9.1% |
| 36 | 40.5% | 33.3% | 26.7% | 15.5% |
| 48 | 45.4% | 39.1% | 33.2% | 20.2% |
| 60 | 48.7% | 42.8% | 38.1% | 24.6% |
TABLE 1.3
Recidivism rate of sex offenders released from prison in 1994, by type of recidivism measure, type of sex offender, and time afterrelease
[Cumulative percent of sex offenders released from prison in 1994]
| Time after 1994 release | All | Rapists | Sexual assaulters |
| Rearrested for any type of crime within— | |||
| 6 months | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
| 1 year | 24.2 | 25.8 | 23.4 |
| 2 years | 35.5 | 38.6 | 34.0 |
| 3 years | 43.0 | 46.0 | 41.5 |
| Reconvicted for any type of crime within—a | |||
| 6 months | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| 1 year | 8.6 | 10.0 | 8.0 |
| 2 years | 17.2 | 19.9 | 15.9 |
| 3 years | 24.0 | 27.3 | 22.4 |
| Returned to prison with a new sentence for any type of crime within—b | |||
| 6 months | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| 1 year | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| 2 years | 8.0 | 9.0 | 7.5 |
| 3 years | 11.2 | 12.6 | 10.5 |
| Total released | 9,691 | 3,115 | 6,576 |
| Note: The 9,691 sex offenders were released in 15 states. | |||
| aBecause of missing data, prisoners released in Ohio were excluded from the calculation of percent reconvicted. | |||
| a"New sentence" includes new sentences to state or federal prisons but not to local jails. Because of missing data, prisoners released in Ohio and Virginia were excluded from the calculation of percentage returned to prison with a new sentence. | |||
1994. Sex offenders include those arrested for rape, statutory rape, sexual assault, and child molestation. The study found that in the first three years following their release from prison, 5.3% of the released sex offenders were rearrested for a sex crime. However, during this same three-year period, a total of 43% of all released sex offenders were rearrested for any type of crime or for violating the terms of their parole. Within three years of their release 38.6% of the sex offenders in the study had been returned to prison following conviction on a new crime or because of a parole violation. Statutory rapists were more likely to be rearrested (49.9%) than child molesters (39.4%). (See Table 1.3 and Table 1.4.)
Recidivism rates for federal prisoners were lower. In a study published in September 2000, Offenders Returning to Federal Prison, 1986–97, William J. Sabol and his colleagues at the Bureau of Justice Statistics reported that the recidivism rate during that
TABLE 1.4
Recidivism rate of child molesters and statutory rapists released from prison in 1994, by type of recidivism measure and time after release
[Cumulative percent of sex offenders released from prison in 1994]
| Time after 1994 release | Child molesters | Statutory rapists |
| Rearrested for any type of crime within— | ||
| 6 months | 16.0% | 18.5% |
| 1 year | 22.9 | 29.8 |
| 2 years | 32.9 | 42.4 |
| 3 years | 39.4 | 49.9 |
| Reconvicted for any type of crime within—a | ||
| 6 months | 3.0% | 4.5% |
| 1 year | 7.1 | 13.6 |
| 2 years | 14.5 | 24.4 |
| 3 years | 20.4 | 32.7 |
| Returned to prison with a new sentence for any type of crime within—b | ||
| 6 months | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 year | 3.1 | 4 |
| 2 years | 6.5 | 9.3 |
| 3 years | 9.1 | 13.2 |
| Total released | 4,295 | 443 |
| Note: The 4,295 child molesters were released in 15 states; the 443 statutory rapists in 11 states. Because of overlapping definitions, all statutory rapists also appear under the column "child molesters." | ||
| aBecause of missing data, prisoners released in Ohio were excluded from the calculation of percent reconvicted. | ||
| b"New sentence" includes new sentences to state or federal prisons but not to local jails. Because of missing data, prisoners released in Ohio and Virginia were excluded from the calculation of percentage returned to prison with a new sentence. | ||
TABLE 1.5
Offenders returned to federal prison within 3 years of release, by sentencing policy and offense, 1986–97
| Applicable sentencing policy | ||||||
| All offenders | Old law | New law | ||||
| Offense of conviction | Number of first releases | Percent returned | Number of first releases | Percent returned | Number of first releases | Percent returned |
| All offenses* | 215,263 | 15.7% | 111,577 | 13.7% | 103,686 | 17.9% |
| Violent | 13,036 | 32.4 | 9,094 | 32.1 | 3,942 | 33.0 |
| Robbery | 8,880 | 36.3 | 6,646 | 35.8 | 2,234 | 37.9 |
| Other violent | 4,156 | 23.9 | 2,448 | 21.9 | 1,708 | 26.6 |
| Property | 48,428 | 16.6 | 27,451 | 13.6 | 20,977 | 20.6 |
| Fraud | 23,970 | 13.2 | 13,064 | 9.2 | 10,906 | 17.9 |
| Other property | 24,448 | 20.0 | 14,387 | 17.6 | 10,071 | 23.5 |
| Drugs | 72,728 | 13.4 | 40,063 | 11.7 | 32,665 | 15.4 |
| Public-order | 79,202 | 14.7 | 33,744 | 11.4 | 45,458 | 17.2 |
| Weapons | 9,203 | 24.2 | 4,372 | 16.3 | 4,831 | 31.3 |
| Immigration | 49,709 | 14.7 | 17,714 | 12.3 | 31,995 | 16.0 |
| Other public-order | 20,290 | 10.7 | 11,658 | 8.1 | 8,632 | 14.1 |
| *Includes offenses with indeterminable offense category. | ||||||
period was 15.7% within three years of release. A total of 215,263 released prisoners were tracked. The highest recidivism rate was for prisoners sentenced originally for robbery, 36.3%. (See Table 1.5.)
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