When earlier welfare-reform efforts stalled in the federal government, many states began to explore ways to modify their welfare programs. In President Bill Clinton's first term, forty-three states were granted federal waivers, allowing them to experiment with different approaches to welfare and work. State plans generally included stiffer work requirements and time limits as well as greater demands of parental responsibility. Many of the programs that developed from those waivers helped to lay the foundation for the new welfare-reform law.
After many proposals, much congressional discussion, and several presidential vetoes, a massive welfare-reform bill, the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA; PL 104-193), was signed into law in August 1996. Replacing AFDC with Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF), the law required that a welfare recipient work in exchange for time-limited assistance. It provided $1 billion over five years for performance bonuses to reward states for moving welfare recipients into jobs. Public Law 104-193 also required state "maintenance of effort," a continuation of welfare spending at a level that is at least 80 percent of 1994 expenditures. The law contained comprehensive child-support enforcement and support for families moving from welfare to work, including increased funding for child care and guaranteed medical coverage.
Overall the welfare caseload fell from a monthly average of 4.5 million families during fiscal year 1996 to an average of 2.1 million families per month during fiscal year 2002, a drop of 53.8 percent. This represents the largest welfare caseload decline in history. (See Table 2.1.) Observers agree that some of the decline was the result of a strong economy in which unemployment was around 4 percent, an unprecedented low, rather than welfare reform. A study conducted by the City University of New York and cited by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services in its 2001 TANF Annual Report to Congress, attributed 60 percent of the reductions in caseloads to welfare reform and 20 percent to the effects of a robust economy. The Council of Economic Advisers estimated that about one-third of the reduction in case-loads between 1996 and 1998 was due to changes in federal and state policies, approximately 10 percent to the strong economy, 10 percent to the higher minimum wage, and from 1 percent to 5 percent to the lower real value of welfare benefits.
Some wonder whether the new welfare system is recession-proof. Other critics of the new system question whether it is fair to everyone. Some are concerned that the new system causes former welfare recipients—without adequate health care, child care, and affordable housing—to slip through the cracks of the welfare system into destitution and homelessness. Under the reformed system, states that are unable to provide jobs
TABLE 2.1
Change in number of families receiving Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) or Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)—fiscal years 1996–20021
| FY96 | FY97 | FY98 | FY99 | FY00 | FY01 | FY02 | Net change FY1996-FY20021 | ||
| Average monthly familes | 4,543,397 | 3,936,610 | 3,199,700 | 2,673,610 | 2,264,855 | 2,115,846 | 2,097,096 | −2,446,301 | −53.8% |
| Percent change from prior years | |||||||||
| To: | FY97 | FY98 | FY99 | FY00 | FY01 | FY021 | |||
| From: FY96 | −13.4 | −29.6 | −41.2 | −50.2 | −53.4 | −53.8 | |||
| FY97 | −18.7 | −32.1 | −42.5 | −46.3 | −46.7 | ||||
| FY98 | −16.4 | −29.2 | −33.9 | −34.5 | |||||
| FY99 | −15.3 | −20.9 | −21.6 | ||||||
| FY00 | −6.6 | −7.4 | |||||||
| FY01 | −0.9 | ||||||||
| Average monthly AFDC/TANF families by state | |||||||||
| State | FY96 | FY97 | FY98 | FY99 | FY00 | FY01 | FY021 | Net change FY1996-FY20021 | |
| Alabama | 42,393 | 34,519 | 23,309 | 20,268 | 19,083 | 18,367 | 18,385 | −24,008 | −56.6% |
| Alaska | 12,253 | 12,023 | 10,159 | 8,461 | 7,347 | 5,847 | 6,042 | −6,211 | −50.7% |
| Arizona | 63,404 | 54,744 | 39,572 | 34,108 | 33,723 | 33,194 | 38,578 | −24,827 | −39.2% |
| Arkansas | 22,747 | 20,896 | 13,844 | 11,939 | 12,354 | 11,607 | 12,240 | −10,507 | −46.2% |
| California | 895,960 | 815,913 | 707,023 | 624,096 | 498,414 | 468,747 | 464,890 | −431,070 | −48.1%2 |
| Colorado | 35,447 | 29,888 | 21,154 | 14,265 | 11,154 | 10,639 | 11,768 | −23,679 | −66.8% |
| Connecticut | 58,117 | 55,796 | 48,089 | 33,932 | 28,095 | 25,943 | 24,535 | −33,583 | −57.8%2 |
| Delaware | 10,388 | 9,761 | 7,199 | 6,241 | 6,058 | 5,421 | 5,516 | −4,873 | −46.9%2 |
| Dist. of Col. | 25,721 | 24,119 | 21,148 | 19,062 | 17,439 | 16,241 | 16,340 | −9,381 | −36.5% |
| Florida | 209,718 | 170,507 | 107,951 | 82,000 | 67,355 | 58,849 | 60,471 | −149,247 | −71.2%2 |
| Georgia | 130,387 | 105,919 | 74,836 | 61,813 | 52,928 | 50,531 | 54,617 | −75,770 | −58.1%2 |
| Guam | 2,137 | 2,309 | 2,098 | 2,533 | 2,743 | 2,807 | 3,072 | −936 | −43.8% |
| Hawaii | 21,960 | 21,267 | 16,844 | 15,990 | 14,438 | 12,852 | 11,667 | −10,293 | −46.9%2 |
| Idaho | 9,008 | 6,465 | 1,918 | 1,380 | 1,275 | 1,290 | 1,358 | −7,649 | −84.9% |
| Illinois | 224,148 | 198,923 | 169,735 | 122,775 | 83,917 | 62,030 | 51,932 | −172,217 | −76.8%2 |
| Indiana | 52,873 | 44,688 | 40,084 | 36,714 | 35,872 | 41,299 | 47,894 | −4,979 | −9.4%2 |
| Iowa | 32,785 | 28,843 | 25,191 | 21,952 | 20,025 | 20,195 | 20,339 | −12,446 | −38.0% |
| Kansas | 25,148 | 20,218 | 14,136 | 12,845 | 12,585 | 13,035 | 13,744 | −11,404 | −45.3% |
| Kentucky | 71,827 | 65,294 | 52,882 | 42,637 | 38,542 | 36,127 | 35,204 | −36,623 | −51.0% |
| Louisiana | 70,581 | 56,535 | 48,228 | 39,372 | 27,820 | 25,176 | 24,464 | −46,117 | −65.3% |
| Maine | 20,461 | 18,470 | 15,408 | 13,473 | 10,864 | 9,661 | 9,572 | −10,889 | −53.2% |
| Maryland | 74,106 | 59,230 | 47,388 | 34,748 | 29,313 | 27,915 | 27,919 | −46,187 | −62.3%2 |
| Massachusetts | 88,365 | 77,989 | 66,490 | 54,463 | 44,189 | 42,570 | 46,991 | −41,374 | −46.8% |
| Michigan | 178,002 | 151,620 | 123,693 | 95,208 | 74,231 | 70,725 | 76,756 | −101,246 | −56.9% |
| Minnesota | 58,250 | 53,340 | 48,301 | 42,465 | 39,040 | 38,558 | 35,338 | −22,912 | −39.3% |
with a living wage may merely move the poor population from welfare into low-wage work and deeper into poverty. As a result, modifications to welfare legislation continue to be proposed.
The Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (PL 105-33) made many modifications and additions to the 1996 welfare-reform law, including changes to the TANF block grant and funding for additional grants. An agriculture bill, which passed the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly in May 1998, included a provision to restore food stamps to 250,000 legal immigrants who were cut from the rolls under the 1996 law. Following its passage by the House of Representatives, the bill was signed into law on June 23, 1998, by President Clinton. New work requirements were implemented by the TANF reauthorization of October 1, 2003; the new law demanded increased hours of work participation of TANF recipients. The sharp decline in number of caseloads has been accompanied by a change in the composition of families served by TANF. In 1996 between 62 and 75.4 percent of AFDC recipients were children. In 2001 states found that between 64 and 84.5 percent of TANF recipients were children.
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